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The Conditional Alliance: The European Left and the Muslim Electorate (La alianza condicionada: la izquierda europea y el electorado musulmán)

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  Political Analysis Report Over the past two decades, much of the European left has watched its traditional working-class base shift toward the anti-immigration radical right, while a rapidly growing Muslim population has become one of its most reliable electoral supports. This essay asks whether these two movements are connected and what the nature of the relationship is between the left and this electorate: a structural alliance, mutual calculation, or mere coincidence. English version of the essay at this link (PDF 90 pages) Presentation-Summary Visual Informe de análisis político Durante las dos últimas décadas, buena parte de la izquierda europea ha visto cómo su base obrera tradicional se desplazaba hacia la derecha radical antiinmigración, mientras una población de origen musulmán en rápido crecimiento se convertía en uno de sus apoyos electorales más fiables. Este ensayo se pregunta si ambos movimientos están conectados y qué naturaleza tiene la relación entre la izquierd...
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ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE RESHAPES THE WORLD. Corporate power, geopolitical rivalry and the breakdown of the social contract (LA INTELIGENCIA ARTIFICIAL REMODELA EL MUNDO. Poder corporativo, rivalidad geopolítica y la quiebra del contrato social)

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    Political Analysis Report "Artificial Intelligence Reshapes the World" is an academic essay that examines the political and social consequences of the current expansion of artificial intelligence, avoiding both the technological euphoria and the apocalyptic alarm that dominate much of the public debate. The author argues that AI is not a homogeneous phenomenon, but a label that groups together distinct economic, geopolitical, and social processes, and proposes his own analytical framework organized around four axes: the concentration of corporate power, the geopolitical rivalry between the United States and China, the transformation of the social structure through the automation of cognitive labor, and the effects on the public sphere and the postwar social contract. English version of the book at this link (PDF 154 pages) Presentation-Summary Visual Informe de análisis político "La inteligencia artificial remodela el mundo" es un ensayo académico que examina l...
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The energy epicenter. The convergence of the Ukraine and Iran wars in the global order (El epicentro energético La convergencia de las guerras de Ucrania e Irán en el orden global)

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      Political Analysis Report Since February 2026, the world faces two high-intensity wars—that of the United States and Israel against Iran, and that of Russia against Ukraine—which, despite being fought thousands of kilometers apart, converge on the same global energy system. This essay contends that they can no longer be understood separately: they share an interconnected oil and gas market, compete for the same U.S. military resources, reinforce each other through cooperation between Tehran and Moscow, and mutually influence one another in the realm of military doctrine. English version of the essay at this link (PDF 66 pages) Presentation-Summary Visual Informe de análisis político Desde febrero de 2026, el mundo afronta dos guerras de gran intensidad —la de Estados Unidos e Israel contra Irán, y la de Rusia contra Ucrania— que, pese a librarse a miles de kilómetros de distancia, convergen sobre un mismo sistema energético global. Este ensayo sostiene que ya no pu...
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The 2026 Ceuta Invasion: Hybrid Warfare, Migration Policy, and Spain's Crisis of State (La invasión de Ceuta en 2026: guerra híbrida, política migratoria y crisis de Estado en España)

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    Political Analysis Report This academic essay examines the Ceuta migration crisis of July 2026—the largest single-wave irregular entry recorded in the European Union, with tens of thousands of people crossing the border in hours and at least seventy-two dead—as more than just a summer episode: it presents it as a turning point with lasting diplomatic, migratory, and institutional consequences for Spain. English version of the essay at this link (PDF 35 pages) Presentation-Summary Visual Informe de análisis político Este ensayo académico examina la crisis migratoria de Ceuta de julio de 2026 —la mayor entrada irregular registrada de una sola vez en la Unión Europea, con decenas de miles de personas cruzando la frontera en horas y al menos setenta y dos muertos— como algo más que un episodio de verano: lo presenta como un punto de inflexión con consecuencias diplomáticas, migratorias e institucionales duraderas para España. Descarga del ensayo completo en español (PDF 35 pá...
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BASE AND SUPERSTRUCTURE: FALSIFIABILITY AND LIMITS OF HISTORICAL MATERIALISM (BASE Y SUPERESTRUCTURA_FALSABILIDAD Y LÍMITES DEL MATERIALISMO HISTÓRICO)

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  Political Analysis Report This essay subjects one of the most influential categories in the social sciences to a critical examination: the Marxist thesis, formulated in the 1859 preface to A Contribution to the Critique of Political Economy , asserting that the economic base of a society determines, in the last instance, its political, legal, and ideological superstructure. Without adopting a militant stance or dismissing historical materialism out of hand, the author evaluates which elements of this scheme retain explanatory value, which have been refuted by subsequent historical research, and which alternative theoretical frameworks offer greater explanatory power today. English version of the book at this link (PDF 82 pages) Presentation-Summary Visual Informe de análisis político Este ensayo somete a examen crítico una de las categorías más influyentes de las ciencias sociales: la tesis marxista, formulada en el prólogo de 1859 a la Contribución a la crítica de la economía p...
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THE WAR OF ATTRITION: UKRAINE, RUSSIA, AND THE RECONFIGURATION OF THE INTERNATIONAL ORDER (2022-2026) (LA GUERRA DE DESGASTE UCRANIA, RUSIA Y LA RECOMPOSICIÓN DEL ORDEN INTERNACIONAL)

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    Political Analysis Report When La re-imperialización de Rusia y la guerra global en Ucrania went to press in May 2024, the war was barely two years old and its major trends were only beginning to take shape. This new essay picks up that analytical framework and subjects it to an exercise rarely attempted in political science: testing it against the evidence accumulated through August 2026, chapter by chapter, hypothesis by hypothesis. The result is a book built around eighteen chapters and six parts that combines an assessment of that comparison with an analysis of the structural transformations the war has produced beyond its territorial outcome. English version of the book at this link (PDF 128 pages) Presentation-Summary Visual Informe de análisis político Cuando en mayo de 2024 se cerraba La re-imperialización de Rusia y la guerra global en Ucrania , la guerra llevaba poco más de dos años en curso y sus grandes tendencias apenas empezaban a perfilarse. Este nuevo e...
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The selectorate in a fragmented democracy. The logic of political survival of Pedro Sánchez's governments (2018-2026) (El selectorado en una democracia fragmentada)

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  Political Analysis Report This political science essay examines the political survival logic of the governments led by Pedro Sánchez in Spain (2018–2026) through the lens of Selectorate Theory. Departing from simplified or purely situational interpretations, the author utilizes this formal political economy framework to demonstrate that governmental action during this period responds to a predictable and systematic incentive structure. The methodological starting point introduces a conceptual extension to the classic model: the distinction between the formal selectorate (the broad and stable body of eligible voters in Spain) and the functional survival coalition (the small core of parliamentary actors whose concurrence and specific support are indispensable in every vote to prevent the fall of the Executive). English version of the essay at this link (PDF 42 pages) Presentation-Summary Visual Informe de análisis político Este ensayo politológico examina la lógica de superviven...
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Radical Right in Latin America Causes, Variants, and Scope of a Phenomenon of Its Own (Derecha radical en América Latina. Causas, variantes y alcance de un fenómeno propio)

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      Political Analysis Book In Amazon In just a few years, Latin America went from being a secondary setting in the study of the radical right to becoming one of its most active laboratories in the world. Javier Milei is dismantling the Argentine state with his fiscal "chainsaw"; Nayib Bukele governs El Salvador under a permanent state of exception with approval ratings close to 90%; José Antonio Kast wins Chile's presidency six years after the most massive social outburst in the country's democratic history; Bolsonarism survives in Brazil despite its founder's electoral defeat and the attempted coup of January 8; and in Ecuador, Peru and Colombia the conservative turn is intertwined with a polarization that paralyzes governability. This book, the third volume of a trilogy on the global radical right, offers the monographic analysis of Latin America that its two previous installments left pending. Its central thesis is that the Latin American radical right is ...
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The cultural war as a contemporary political phenomenon (La guerra cultural como fenómeno político contemporáneo)

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      Political Analysis Report This academic essay analyzes the "culture war" as one of the fundamental axes of political polarization in contemporary democracies across Europe, the United States, and Latin America. Moving beyond oversimplified analyses, the work investigates the origins, dynamics, and causal mechanisms of these conflicts centered around moral values, collective identities, and worldviews, assessing the extent to which they represent a defensive conservative backlash or a mutation of class struggle following the collapse of the Soviet bloc. English version of the book at this link (PDF 96 pages) Presentation-Summary Visual Informe de análisis político Este ensayo académico analiza la «guerra cultural» como uno de los ejes fundamentales de la polarización política en las democracias contemporáneas de Europa, Estados Unidos y América Latina. Frente a análisis simplificadores, la obra investiga los orígenes, dinámicas y mecanismos causales de estos conflic...
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A WEARY AND ERRATIC EMPIRE The cycle of US intervention and failure in the Arab-Muslim world (UN IMPERIO FATIGADO Y ERRÁTICO El ciclo de intervención y fracaso de Estados Unidos en el mundo árabe-musulmán)

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    Political Analysis Report A Weary and Erratic Empire is an essay of political and historical analysis that examines a recurring pattern in United States foreign policy: the cycle of military intervention, stalemate, precipitous withdrawal, and abandonment of allies that has repeated itself from Lebanon in 1982 to the conflict with Iran in 2025-2026, passing through Somalia, Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Syria, and Yemen. The author argues that this pattern does not respond to isolated errors on the part of specific administrations, nor to partisan differences, but to a structural dysfunction that runs through Democratic and Republican governments alike. English version of the book at this link (PDF 167 pages) Informe de análisis político Un imperio fatigado y errático es un ensayo de análisis político e histórico que examina un patrón recurrente en la política exterior estadounidense: el ciclo de intervención militar, estancamiento, retirada precipitada y abandono de aliados...
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